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Volume 10, 1877
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Art. LXXII.—Further Remarks as to the Cause of the Warmer Climate which existed in high Northern Latitudes during former Geological Epochs.

[Read before the Wellington Philosophical Society, 17th November, 1877.]

It will be remembered that I had the honour of reading a paper before this Society in August last, in which I ventured to urge that the warmer climate which unquestionably prevailed in high northern latitudes during former geological periods, as evidenced by the character of their fauna and flora, was chiefly due to the radiation of heat conducted from the interior to the surface of our globe. Since then I have had an opportunity of studying Mr. Croll's great work on “Climate and Time,” in which that gentleman expresses his dissent from all such theories, and endeavours to show that the better climatal conditions in question were indirectly due to changes in the eccentricity of the earth's orbit, resulting in alternations of cold and warm periods at irregular intervals, brought about through the medium of heated ocean currents impelled towards high latitudes under the operation of the trade winds. To those who have had the advantage of studying Mr. Croll's work, it will, undoubtedly, appear presumptuous on my part to dispute the conclusions he has arrived at, and still more so to maintain a proposition at variance with his opinions, but I venture to think that in his treatment of the question he has overlooked some points of great importance with which I propose to deal in this paper. But before alluding to those points let me call your attention briefly to the views which Mr. Croll propounds.

In the first place he calls attention to the changes which constantly take place in the eccentricity of the earth's orbit, and points out that when this eccentricity is at its superior limit (=.0721) the difference in the distance of the earth from the sun when in the aphelion, as compared with the perihelion of its orbit, is upwards of 14,000,000 of miles, and that the amount of heat received by the earth when in those two positions will be as 19 to 26. He next points out that if, according to the precession of the equinoxes, winter should happen in the northern hemisphere when the earth was in the aphelion of its orbit, at the time when the orbit was at its greatest eccentricity the difference in the amount of direct heat received from the sun would be sufficient to bring about a recurrence of the glacial epoch. On the other hand he urges that if, under the same circumstances, winter were to occur in the northern hemisphere when the earth was in the perihelion of its orbit, the difference between winter and summer in the latitude of England, at all events, would be almost annihilated, whilst extreme glacial conditions would be transferred to southern latitudes.

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He further alleges, that in the latter case the effect of the trade winds would be to impel the heated currents of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans further towards the North Pole, thereby causing the ice within the arctic regions to disappear, and so producing a climate sufficiently mild to admit of the existence in those regions of a fauna and flora as rich and varied as that which characterized them during any past geological period.

In the nineteenth chapter of his work he gives a diagram showing the eccentricity of the earth's orbit for 3,000,000 of years in the past, and 1,000,000 of years to come, at periods of 50,000 years apart, and tables showing those matters more in detail at intervals of 10,000 years. On looking over the diagram it will be seen that there were three principal periods in the past during which the eccentricity rose to a high value. It is to one or other of the last two that Mr. Croll assigns the geological period familiarly known as the glacial epoch, preferring, however, the later to the earlier one for reasons into which he enters at some length.

The later period consisted of two separate maxima, the earlier one being the greater of the two, and separated from the latter extreme by an interval during which the eccentricity was considerably diminished although still comparatively high, the whole period occupying 160,000 years, one-half of which would represent the united length of the cold phases in each hemisphere. Now, assuming Mr. Croll's views to be correct, the glacial epoch which was brought about by this condition of things would continuously affect each hemisphere alternately for a period of about 10,500 years, owing to the precession of the equinoxes. But the operation must have been complicated by the circumstance that, during the 160,000 years in question, there was a period of lesser eccentricity occupying some 30,000 years, during which the intensity of the cold would have been diminished in each hemisphere. It will be observed therefore that, during the period referred to, the conditions requisite, according to Mr. Croll's theory, for the production and removal of glacial conditions in the northern hemisphere would have occurred with varying intensity at alternating intervals of 10,500 years about four times, owing to the precession of the equinoxes, or, in other words, that the arctic circle would, at the intervals referred to, alternately have enjoyed atmospheric conditions which would admit of the existence of a luxuriant fauna and flora, or such as were utterly opposed to the existence of any terrestrial life.

But a glance at Mr. Croll's diagram will, I think, sufficiently show that, whilst his theory may abundantly account for an extension of pre-existing glaciated conditions in each hemisphere during periods of maximum eccentricity, there is nothing in it to lead to the conclusion that the polar ice has ever been completely removed since its first formation in mass, which, as I

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contend, could only have commenced when the temperature of the surface of the ground within those regions had fallen permanently below 32° Fahr. Since my former paper was read before this society, the May number of the “Quarterly Journal of the Geological Society” has been received, and I find that the same subject which was dealt with by me in my former paper had been referred to by Professor Duncan, President of the Society, in his anniversary address. He points out that in the science of geology “strict uniformitarianism is giving way to a school which insists upon the recognition of a scientific cosmogony, which attempts the study of the mutations of the globe from the beginning, from the example of stellar and solar changes, and which considers that the principal factors in terrestrial alterations (the solar heat and the residual heat of the earth) are energies undergoing only a definite amount of reversible and more or less irreversible transformation.” And he adds that it follows, as a result of the investigations of this school, that “in the earlier geological ages, the extent and rapidity of the successive changes were greater than in the modern example, that the rigidity of the globe was less, that the internal heat and its expression in temperature at the surface were greater, and that the meteorology was such that the wear and tear of world-wide nature was larger in its annual amount.” Further on, in the same address, the learned Professor remarks, “that it must be acknowledged that a permanent increase of a few degrees of the temperature of the waters would kill off many species, and that the whole flora and fauna would cease to exist were the average heat double what it now is; that the same result would follow a moderate increase of the heat of the soil with regard to the plants; and that if the estimated amount of the heat radiated year by year, after conduction from within, relates entirely or mainly to a former much greater annual average, all being residual in its nature, the question of the possible lapse of time since the surface was cool enough to permit of life arises, and has been ably used in argument against absolute uniformitarianism.”

I ought not to make these quotations, however, without adding, that Professor Duncan does not go deeply into the question in the aspect presented in my own paper, nor can I cite his address as being altogether in support of my views; but it was satisfactory to me to find that such a speculation as that in which I ventured to indulge, was not altogether without interest or foundation in connection with geology as a practical science. My own views, put in concrete form, are these: That the arctic and antarctic regions were those which first presented climatal conditions suited to the existence of life, inasmuch as those regions must have been the first to cool down sufficiently to admit of water resting upon them in a permanently liquid condition. That, as a consequence naturally following

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from the above proposition, the polar areas have become, in process of time, the great refrigerators which have supplied the cold waters now occupying the deeper parts of our oceans. That a warm climate was maintained in the polar regions—long after the heat conducted to the surface from the interior of the globe had ceased to maintain the waters above 32°—by currents of the warm water which occupied the central parts of the earth's surface; but that, so soon as the surface of the land within the polar areas had cooled sufficiently to enable snow to rest and accumulate upon the surface of the ground during ordinary winters, cold began to gain upon heat, and permit the formation and gradual accumulation of permanent ice. That ice once so formed in mass has never since been entirely removed from extreme northern and southern latitudes, but has probably extended from each towards the equator, under the operation of causes upon which I offered no opinion, but which probably were those so fully discussed by Mr. Croll. To this extent I agree with Mr. Croll, but I think he has overlooked, in connection with former climatal conditions in high latitudes, the enormous period of time which must have elapsed since the great body of water which now occupies the surface of our globe had accumulated upon it, and the effects which, during long ages, must have been produced by the passage into high latitudes of currents of water still owing its warmth to heat conducted to the surface from the interior of our globe, under the very impulses which he himself has shown to exist. It follows, moreover, that independently of the occasional extension of glacial conditions into lower latitudes, as suggested by Mr. Croll, there is reason to suppose that the climate of those latitudes will continue to suffer a gradual degradation in temperature, owing to the continuing refrigeration of the waters of the ocean, unless, indeed, this has already reached a mean, and that in the distant future the northern portions of the temperate regions may become uninhabitable, except by races like the Laplanders or the Esquimaux. Mr. Croll objects that the quantity of heat conducted from the interior to the surface of the globe is now utterly insignificant as an agent in modifying or affecting climate, but that it is still considerable cannot be doubted. The following passage from Mr. Poulett Scrope's work on Volcanos is in point on this matter:—

“In support of the hypothesis advanced at the close of the last chapter, we have, in the first place, the well-known evidence of mines and artesian wells to the fact that the temperature of the crust of the globe increases everywhere in a very rapid ratio from the surface downwards, varying from one degree in 50 to one degree in 108 feet of vertical depth, and consequently that a large amount of heat is continually in course of outward transmission from within this envelope

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through the superficial rocks, and the waters that permeate or cover them, into surrounding space. Secondly, we have the phenomena of volcanos, proving, as has been shown, that, besides this, another considerable amount of heat is continually effecting its outward escape—with less regularity, but with equal constancy—by the exhaustion from within of heated vapours and thermal waters, and the eruption of incandescent lavas. The continuance of these phenomena, through every past age of the globe, proves the accession of continual increments of caloric from great depths within its interior to the mass of lava, or the material from which lava is elaborated, that underlies the outer hardened and comparatively cool crust;” and he further remarks,—“That it would seem that the outward transmission of internal heat by these two combined modes is insufficient for its discharge as rapidly as it is supplied from within, inasmuch as a third collateral order of phenomena, the plutonic, attests the frequent expansion only to be accounted for by increased temperature of extensive underlying masses of matter.”

I may, moreover, in conclusion, cite the following passage from Professor Duncan's address, as possessing interest in connection with my papers. After remarking that we may readily believe in a universal atmosphere whose tenuity is greatest between the great attracting bodies, and referring to Mr. Mattieu Williams' views on this subject, he says,—“Reasoning, then, by analogy, the earth should have had a higher atmosphere, and probably more of it in the past, and this would be very compensatory. A slightly greater atmospheric pressure would counteract the greater possible rate of evaporation; and this compensation rather adds to the probability of the theory. With more aqueous vapour and a more energetic sun, sub-aerial denudation may have progressed far above its present average rate. Moreover, the greater movable atmosphere would absorb much of the heat of the hotter sun, and would modify its action on the surface; and, on the other hand, a greater diffusion of equable temperature would prevail, and towards the poles there would be prolonged twilight. A greater rainfall and more rapid movement of the lower zones of the atmosphere would result; and as the supply of moisture must have been greater, there is no reason why the local glacialization of high mountain ranges should not have occurred. The improbability of the occurrence of masses of ice on the sea-level, or for some thousands of feet above it or at the poles, must, however, be admitted.” The italics are mine in the foregoing quotation, and the passages so marked bear, as will be seen, a good deal upon my views.